War in Ukraine / April 14

The Molfar team sends a daily newsletter about the war in Ukraine. The editorial staff of AIN.Capital publishes the full version of the digest. You can subscribe to the newsletter here.

Kyiv is still in danger due to a possible strike with tactical nuclear weapons

At the end of March, russian troops withdrew from the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions. This was a relief for Kyiv: the enemy troops were actually 20 km from the capital. The active front of hostilities was moved to the east and south of Ukraine. However, for a long time, the Ukrainian command stated that there was still a chance that russian troops would return to active operations in the north. It all depends on success on other fronts.

Today, the main danger is rocket fire. This was stated by both representatives of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine and the Pentagon. Moreover, if earlier the russian federation aimed at military facilities in Kyiv, now their purpose may change – the missiles will be aimed at “decision-making centers”. Moreover, the Pentagon urges to take seriously the allegations that russia, despite the massive shelling, can use tactical nuclear weapons because of the inability to achieve at least some visible results on each of the fronts. At the same time, President putin really wants to show a TV picture until May 9, so that the people can see the “great victories”. According to unverified data, this is why they may return to the idea of ​​shelling Kyiv.

Kyiv authorities are asking locals not to rush back to the city, but this is not working: more than 30,000 refugees are returning to Ukraine every day, and more than 800,000 have already arrived from abroad. There are big traffic jams at the entrance to Kyiv because of the returning people. Despite all the government’s messages, the capital is opening restaurants, shops, launching services. Cities near the capital, such as Irpin and Bucha, are clearing streets, restoring energy and gas supplies, and rebuilding bridges.

“Moscow” has already sunk

The cruiser “Moscow”, despite the controversial information, sank. After two strikes by Neptune missiles, it was towed to Sevastopol, but due to significant damage and storm, the ship sank. According to various estimates, most of the crew died. One of the important questions is whether there were nuclear warheads in Moscow. The Kremlin has not officially commented on the issue, other parties have refrained from making statements. “Moscow” is estimated at $ 750 million, the ship was built for three years, for russia this is the biggest and most expensive loss since the beginning of the war. In russia there were only three such ships, now there are two and both – on other borders. It is symbolic that the ship was built in Mykolaiv.

Airstrike, missile and MRL damage

Luhansk region:

• As a result of the artillery shelling of Kreminna, 5 residents received shrapnel wounds.
• […]

Kharkiv region:

• 3 air strikes on the territory of the village, presumably in the residential sector. It is known about 1 wounded person, the exact number is being specified.
• […]

Donetsk region:

• 3 air strikes on the territory of the village, presumably in the residential sector. It is known about 1 wounded person, the exact number is being specified.
• […]

Chernihiv region:

• Attack on the outskirts of the city, the rocket hit a residential building.
• […]

Dnipro region:

• Rocket attack on the territory not far from the borders with Zaporizhzhya and Donetsk regions, non-residential premises were destroyed. The rocket type is being specified.
• […]

Zaporizhzhya region:

• Houses in the city center, the private sector, a store and a depot at the Tavriisk railway station were damaged. One person died and five more were injured. The administrative building where the laboratory was located was destroyed, and the decontamination supplies were also damaged.
• […]

Sumy region:

• Shelling of the settlements from the territory of the Russian Federation, residential buildings were damaged. According to the head of the Sumy region, prohibited ammunition was used.
• […]

New laws

Ukraine:

• [Social protection] The Verkhovna Rada adopted a draft law on the delimitation of the functions of the state authorities and local self-government bodies for the protection of children’s rights in connection with the formation of the State Service of Ukraine for Children.
• [Criminal law] Taking into account the proposals of President Zelenskyy, the Verkhovna Rada adopted the Law “On Amendments to the Criminal and Criminal Procedure Code of Ukraine regarding the improvement of responsibility for collaboration activities and the specifics of the application of measures for committing crimes against the foundations of national and public security.” The law clarifies the offense and jurisdiction when imposing a sentence of imprisonment of up to 12 years with confiscation of property for collaboration activities, complicity with the aggressor state, any cooperation with such a state, its occupying administration and armed forces to the detriment of Ukraine.
• […]

Russia:

• [Response to the sanctions] The Cabinet of Ministers of Russia introduced temporary rules for leasing and purchasing aircraft from unfriendly countries for 2022. According to the document, foreign companies with a branch in Russia will be paid in rubles for the purchase, rental and leasing of aircraft – to Russian accounts and at the rate of the Bank of Russia.
• […]

This was the free part of the military brief, read the full text + all archives in the paid version. 

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In a paid version:

• Airstrike, missile and MLRS damage
• Civilian casualties
• Video of russian prisoners
• New laws
• Occupant’s casualties (est. from Ukrainian General Staff)
• War crimes in a de-occupied territories
• Alternative loss estimates
• Data archive.
• Analytical charts: occupant losses, a chart with known air raid alerts by region and known damage, diagram of known airstrike, missile and MRL damage and known child deaths, diagram of known damage for Ukrainian infrastructure, diagram of average duration of the air alerts in the regions.

War in Ukraine. Weekly digest of the key events