War in Ukraine / May 2

The Molfar team sends a daily newsletter about the war in Ukraine. The editorial staff of AIN.Capital publishes the full version of the digest. You can subscribe to the newsletter here.

May 9 is an important day for Putin

Ukraine and the world are not without anxiety waiting for May 9 – “Victory Day”, as it is called in Russia. For Putin, this is an important holiday, because for decades he has been actively promoting the idea that it was the Soviet Union, Russia’s ancestor, that saved Europe and the world from Nazi Germany. Such a one-man decision is debatable, and it is not known whether the Union would survive without the American Lend-Lease, but Putin ignores these thoughts and ideas.

By May 9, he needs some kind of victory that he can show to his people. This is important for the President of Russia – because of the good news at the front, his rating is growing or staying at a high level. So far there are no great achievements. One of those that can be attributed to Russia now is the occupation of part of the southern regions of Ukraine. In particular, we are talking about the city of Kherson and the Kherson region. According to some sources, in the near future they may announce the creation of the so-called Kherson People’s Republic or even return the region to its historical name – the Tavriya region.

Another possible scenario on May 9 is the declaration of war. It will be recalled that on February 24, Putin announced the beginning of a “special military operation,” but not a war. Russia has not officially started the war. Everything can change on May 9. According to some insiders, Putin may declare war on Ukraine and thus begin a general mobilization. As a result, tens of thousands of new soldiers will be sent to Ukraine.

According to various estimates, Putin’s army has already lost 10,000 to 24,000 dead and 25,000 to 60,000 wounded. More than $10 billion worth of machinery was destroyed. The propaganda is trying to hide all these losses. Putin needs a formal declaration of war to openly mobilize new resources and send them to war.

Airstrike, missile and MRL damage

Kharkiv region:

  • As a result of shelling by Russian troops, 15 private residential buildings were destroyed, 35 apartments in apartment buildings were damaged. A school, a kindergarten, an outpatient clinic, and a cultural center were also damaged.
  • Russian troops shelled a convoy of cars traveling to the village to evacuate residents. One of the cars was destroyed, another one was damaged. One of the volunteers received shrapnel wounds.
  • As a result of shelling by Russian troops, 6 residential buildings and 2 schools were damaged.
  • […]

Zaporizhzhya region:

  • As a result of the shelling, 7 private houses were damaged, and household buildings were destroyed; 6 apartments in a multi-story building were significantly damaged. The body of a local 83-year-old resident who died during the shelling was found in the courtyard of a multi-story building. Another 3 residents were injured of varying severity. The utility room of the service station with a total area of 90 m² and an extension to the house on an area of 4 m² caught fire. Damage to low-pressure inlet gas pipelines was also recorded.
  • As a result of the shelling, a 41-year-old resident received severe penetrating shrapnel wounds, was hospitalized, and died in the hospital. Another 47-year-old resident received gunshot wounds to the right forearm and face and a slight concussion.
  • […]

Luhansk region:

  • The Russian army shelled the region’s settlements 25 times, including Severodonetsk, Lysychansk, Rubizhne, Popasna, Hirske, Zolote, Orikhove. 7 houses were destroyed In Popasna, and 2 houses were destroyed in Rubizhne. In Severodonetsk, as a result of 8 shellings, 5 houses were damaged. In the Hirske community, more than 12 buildings were destroyed: 12 houses in Orikhove and 2 houses in Zolote burned down (1, 2). It is known about 12 missing people. The number of dead and wounded is being clarified.
  • […]

Mykolaiv region:

  • Russian troops shelled Korabelnyi district. As a result, three metal household trailers located next to the warehouses burned down. There was also a missile attack on one of the enterprises, but the missile did not hit the target.
  • […]

Donetsk region:

  • Russian troops shelled Lyman, Avdiivka, Pokrovsk, Siversk, Svyatohirsk, Yarova, Novomykolaivka, Ocheretyne, Shevchenko. 33 civilian facilities were destroyed, including residential buildings, children’s health facilities, a school, and vital infrastructure. One person died in Dibrova in the Lyman community, and 8 people were injured (1, 2).
  • […]

Kherson region:

  • Russian troops shelled the territory of the community. As a result of the mortar shelling, private houses, utility rooms, and communal property were damaged. Residents received shrapnel wounds. A man was taken to the hospital in a critical condition with a fragmental wound to the neck and a fracture of the base of the skull. Prohibited cluster munitions were used during the shelling.
  • […]

Dnipropetrovsk region:

  • Russian troops attacked an agricultural enterprise’s warehouse with grain. As a result, the roof of the elevator building collapsed.
  • […]

Odesa region:

  • The troops of the Russian Federation struck three times the bridge across the Dniester Liman, which had already been shelled twice by the forces of the Russian Federation. The bridge is closed to traffic due to the collapse of structures.
  • […]

This was the free part of the military brief

Read the full text + all archives in the paid version.

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In a paid version:

  • Airstrike, missile and MLRS damage
  • Civilian casualties
  • Video of russian prisoners
  • New laws
  • Occupant’s casualties (est. from Ukrainian General Staff)
  • War crimes in a de-ocupied territories
  • Alternative loss estimates
  • Data archive.
  • Analytical charts: occupant losses, chart with known air raid alerts by region and known damage, diagram of known airstrike, missile and MRL damage and known child deaths, diagram of known damage for Ukrainian infrastructure, diagram of average duration of the air alerts in the regions.